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Hot House Races

State of Play

  • 11 races — all now held by Republicans — are highly competitive.
  • 2 races, Florida CD 27 and Virginia CD 10, now lean toward a Democratic flip; the other 9 are toss-ups.
  • 19 Republican-held seats are potentially competitive and could possibly flip in the event of a Democratic wave; only one Democrat-held seat,  Florida CD 7, is potentially competitive.
  • Republicans are currently favored in all 19 of their potentially competitive seats; the Democrat is favored in Florida CD 7.

Possible Change: Democrats can pick up between 2 and 31 seats; if Democrats win half of the toss-up races, their gain is 6 seats; if they win all of them, their gain would be 11.

Democrats need to win 24 seats nationally to take control of the House.

Hottest Races

FLORIDA CD 18 

Mast (R-Incumbent) vs. Baer (D)

FLORIDA CD 26

Curbelo (R-Incumbent) vs. Mucarsel-Powell (D)

FLORIDA CD 27  

Shalala (D) vs. Elvira Salazar (R) Open Seat

KENTUCKY CD 6

Barr (R-Incumbent) vs. McGrath (D)

N. CAROLINA CD 9

Harris (R) vs. McCready (D) Open Seat

TEXAS CD 7

Culberson (R-Incumbent) vs. Panill Fletcher (D)

TEXAS CD 23

Hurd (R-Incumbent) vs. Ortiz Jones (D)

TEXAS CD 32

Sessions (R-Incumbent) vs. Allred (D)

VIRGINIA CD 7

Brat (R-Incumbent) vs. Spanberger (D)

VIRGINIA CD 10

Comstock (R-Incumbent) vs. Wexton (D)

W. VIRGINIA CD 3

Miller (R) vs. Ojeda (D) Open Seat

Potentially Competitive

ARKANSAS CD 2

Hill (R-Incumbent) vs. Tucker (D)

FLORIDA CD 6

Waltz (R) vs. Soderberg (D) Open Seat

FLORIDA CD 7

Murphy (D-Incumbent) vs. Miller (R)

FLORIDA CD 8

Posey (R-Incumbent) vs. Patel (D)

FLORIDA CD 12

Bilirakis (R-Incumbent) vs. Hunter (D)

FLORIDA CD 15

Spano (R) vs. Carlson (D) Open Seat

FLORIDA CD 16

Buchanan (R-Incumbent) vs. Shapiro (D)

FLORIDA CD 25

Diaz-Balart (R-Incumbent) vs. Flores (D)

GEORGIA CD 6

Handel (R-Incumbent) vs. McBath (D)

GEORGIA CD 7

Woodall (R-Incumbent) vs. Bourdeaux (D)

N. CAROLINA CD 8

Hudson (R-Incumbent) vs. McNeill (D)

N. CAROLINA CD13

Budd (R-Incumbent) vs. Manning (D)

OKLAHOMA CD 5

Russell (R-Incumbent) vs. Horn (D)

S. CAROLINA CD 1

Arrington (R) vs. Cunningham (D) Open Seat

TENNESSEE CD 7

Green (R) vs. Kanew (D) Open Seat

TEXAS CD 2

Crenshaw (R) vs. Litton (D) Open Seat

TEXAS CD 21

Roy (R) vs. Kopser (D) Open Seat

TEXAS CD 31

Carter (R-Incumbent) vs. Hegar (D)

VIRGINIA CD 2

Taylor (R-Incumbent) vs. Luria (D)

VIRGINIA CD 5

Riggleman (R) vs. Cockburn (D) Open Seat

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