State of Play

• 11 races — all now held by Republicans — are highly competitive.
• One race, Virginia CD 10, now leans toward a Democratic flip; the other 10 are toss-ups.
• 21 Republican-held seats are potentially competitive and could possibly flip in the event of a Democratic wave, though Republicans are current favored in all of these seats.
• No Democrat-held seat is currently in danger of flipping to the GOP.

Possible Change: Democrats can pick up between 1 and 32 seats; if Democrats win half of the toss-up races, their net gain is 6 seats; if they win all of them, their net gain would be 11.

Democrats need to win 24 seats nationally to take control of the House.

Hottest Races

FLORIDA CD 26

Curbelo (R-Incumbent) vs. Mucarsel-Powell (D)

FLORIDA CD 27  

Shalala (D) vs. Elvira Salazar (R) Open Seat

KENTUCKY CD 6

Barr (R-Incumbent) vs. McGrath (D)

N. CAROLINA CD 9

Harris (R) vs. McCready (D) Open Seat

N. CAROLINA CD13

Budd (R-Incumbent) vs. Manning (D)

TEXAS CD 7

Culberson (R-Incumbent) vs. Panill Fletcher (D)

TEXAS CD 32

Sessions (R-Incumbent) vs. Allred (D)

VIRGINIA CD 2

Taylor (R-Incumbent) vs. Luria (D)

VIRGINIA CD 7

Brat (R-Incumbent) vs. Spanberger (D)

VIRGINIA CD 10

Comstock (R-Incumbent) vs. Wexton (D)

W. VIRGINIA CD 3

Miller (R) vs. Ojeda (D) Open Seat

Potentially Competitive

ARKANSAS CD 2

Hill (R-Incumbent) vs. Tucker (D)

FLORIDA CD 6

Waltz (R) vs. Soderberg (D) Open Seat

FLORIDA CD 8

Posey (R-Incumbent) vs. Patel (D)

FLORIDA CD 12

Bilirakis (R-Incumbent) vs. Hunter (D)

FLORIDA CD 15

Spano (R) vs. Carlson (D) Open Seat

FLORIDA CD 16

Buchanan (R-Incumbent) vs. Shapiro (D)

FLORIDA CD 18 

Mast (R-Incumbent) vs. Baer (D)

FLORIDA CD 25

Diaz-Balart (R-Incumbent) vs. Flores (D)

GEORGIA CD 6

Handel (R-Incumbent) vs. McBath (D)

GEORGIA CD 7

Woodall (R-Incumbent) vs. Bourdeaux (D)

N. CAROLINA CD 8

Hudson (R-Incumbent) vs. McNeill (D)

OKLAHOMA CD 5

Russell (R-Incumbent) vs. Horn (D)

S. CAROLINA CD 1

Arrington (R) vs. Cunningham (D) Open Seat

TENNESSEE CD 7

Green (R) vs. Kanew (D) Open Seat

TEXAS CD 2

Crenshaw (R) vs. Litton (D) Open Seat

TEXAS CD 21

Roy (R) vs. Kopser (D) Open Seat

TEXAS CD 22

Olson (R-Incumbent) vs. Kulkarni

TEXAS CD 23

Hurd (R-Incumbent) vs. Ortiz Jones (D)

TEXAS CD 24

Marchant (R-Incumbent) vs. McDowell (D)

TEXAS CD 31

Carter (R-Incumbent) vs. Hegar (D)

VIRGINIA CD 5

Riggleman (R) vs. Cockburn (D) Open Seat